Thomas is a writer at TNW. He covers the full spectrum of European tech, with a particular focus on deeptech, startups, and government polic Thomas is a writer at TNW. He covers the full spectrum of European tech, with a particular focus on deeptech, startups, and government policy.
Citizens’ assemblies are having a moment. Growing distrust in governments and experts has revived the ancient Greek method of empowering the public to participate in politics.
The model is now gaining traction around the world. In the UK and France, for example, citizens’ assemblies have been convened to deliberate responses to climate change.
But selecting the members of these bodies is a complicated task. Ideally, citizens’ assemblies should be both representative and randomly selected. Balancing these two requirements is challenging as the volunteers tend to be unrepresentative of the whole population.
A team of computer scientists from Harvard and Carnegie Mellon universities has devised a potential solution: selection algorithms.
The team’s system finds panels that satisfy quota requirements and give potential members as equal a chance of selection as is mathematically possible.
The algorithm first constructs a set of quota-dependent panels. These are developed by iteratively building an “optimal portfolio” of panels and computing the fairest distribution of participants. A single panel is then randomly drawn from the distribution.
The open-source algorithm has already been used to select more than 40 citizens’ assemblies around the world. In Michigan, the system was used to pick a panel of 30 residents to make recommendations about COVID-19.
The process was a success, according to a June report by Fast Company:
Their chosen panelists were demographically representative, gender-balanced, aged 20 to 87, and had wide variations in race, education, and political views. The panel emerged with 12 policy recommendations on handling COVID-19 and the economy, including on mask mandates, unemployment benefits, and home relief grants.
The researchers will now explore new ways that computer science can contribute to democratic practices.
In a time of declining respect for professional politicians, the team’s algorithms could enhance an alternative form of representative democracy.
You can read the open-access study paper in Nature.
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