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This article was published on December 15, 2020

Twitter sentiment analysis suggests football fans would give video referees the red card

Most tweets about VAR were negative and deployments of the system worsened fans' moods for another 20 minutes

Twitter sentiment analysis suggests football fans would give video referees the red card Image by: SounderBruce
Thomas Macaulay
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Thomas Macaulay

Writer at Neural by TNW Writer at Neural by TNW

When the video assistant referee (VAR) arrived in the English Premier League last year, there were high hopes that the system would erase incorrect decisions from games.

The tech is used to review contentious decisions made by officials on the pitch. But many players, pundits, and coaches say the system is so slow and inconclusive that it’s causing more problems than it solves.

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Now researchers from the Technical University of Munich have used machine learning to find out what supporters are saying about VAR on Twitter.

The team first used the official Twitter API to collect more than 600,000 English language tweets made during 129 matches of the 2019-20 Premier League season.

“We used the official hashtag for each game to ensure that the tweets really refer to the game in question,” said Dr Otto Kolbinger from TUM’s Chair of Performance Analysis and Sports Informatics.

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The researchers then created a subsample of tweets made when VAR incidents occurred, which they grouped as either positive, neutral, or negative. This was used to train a text classification model to analyze each tweet’s sentiment.

The model categorized 76.24% of the 58,000 tweets about VAR as negative, 11.43% as neutral, and just 12.33% as positive.

The researchers say that tweets about the video referee were typically far more negative than those mentioning other aspects of the games. They also found that deployments of VAR made the mood of fans “significantly worse” for the next 20 minutes on average.

Dr Otto Kolbinger said the findings show improvements to VAR are needed:

The football associations should attempt to communicate all VAR decisions with greater transparency. To ensure this transparency, the associations could broadcast the communications between the referee on the field and the video referee, as it is done in field hockey. An alternative would be to introduce the option of a ‘coaches challenge,’ as in American football.

As a football fan who regularly finds myself screaming at the TV when VAR is used, I hope they take the advice.

You can read the full study in the journal PLOS ONE.

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