If the algorithms are all working right, then Google+’s “unofficial statistician” Paul Allen believes that Google+ now has over 43 million users. Allen, whose name you might know as being the founder of Ancestry.com has a method whereby he estimates the total number of users on Google+ based upon uncommon surnames.
In the past, according to PlusHeadlines, Allen has been startlingly accurate:
- July 4th – 1.7 million users
- July 9th – 4.5 million users
- July 12 – 10 million users
- September 9th – 28.7 million users
- September 22nd – 43.4 million users
These numbers tie up almost exactly with confirmed reports that we’ve seen in the past, as well as our own findings from Google
When you consider that Google+ is just barely 3 months old, the growth is huge. In fact, Allen posits that in the past 2 days since the public has been able to access
the service without an invitation, there has been a 30% growth.
The stats leave me to question exactly what keeps drawing people in at such a rapid rate. Are people really backlashing against Facebook? A reported 800 million users seem to be just fine on the site, especially after recent changes to privacy
. But maybe it’s a combination of just wanting a change, and Google’s rollout of comprehensive new features
for its own network that has spurred momentum.
We’ve dropped a line to Google to get some confirmation, but given Allen’s track record it seems very likely that he’s dead on, or at least very close.
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