Facebook is set to pass the significant milestone of one billion users in August, according to digital marketing firm iCrossing, which made its estimation based on the social network’s recent growth.
It’s been well documented that Facebook has seen a slow down in new sign-ups in Western markets, like the US, where it is coming close to saturation point amongst Internet users, but developing markets are picking up the slack and pushing it towards the landmark.
Facebook has built itself to 800 million users, more than half of which log-in each day, and iCrossing explains the significant role that emerging markets have played:
Developing countries such as India and Brazil have shown strong growth with India growing from 22 million users to 36 million and Brazil going from 13 million to 30 million in the last 9 months.
Both are large countries with millions of potential users who have yet to sign up to Facebook, with only 3% of India’s population on Facebook and 16% of Brazil’s (compared to 49% of America’s population or 47% of the UK’s population) countries such as these will clearly contribute heavily to Facebook’s continued growth.
With Internet penetration low in Brazil, India and other emerging markets where Facebook is growing, there is huge scope for the social network to attract even greater numbers of people. Mobile is likely to be a key part of this, with smartphone and Internet-enabled devices providing more affordable net access and a gateway to more Facebook users.
There are a couple of big moments coming up for Facebook in 2012, as we looked at earlier this month, and while details of its IPO are as yet unknown, we can set our clocks for August time, or roundabouts.
Facebook has pioneered a change in online communication and who is to say where it will go in the next five years, let alone the preceding twelve months.



















Back on March 23, 2011, I wrote a blog article about Facebook's revenue model and determined that the social giant had hit a "Critical Inflection Point" sometime towards the end of 2010, and is no longer growing exponentially. Infact, according to Forrester Research, FB is running out of eyeballs and growth has definitely slowed. In spite of a spurt in new users in 2011, my Inflection Point Model remains intact. NO, I don't think they will hit 1 billion users. In fact, I question whether they have a solid 800 million. You can read about it here. http://xurl.at/3p8 Since they are running out of eyeballs due to saturation in many markets, their ad revenue growth will slow down in 2012, and eventually peak. I wrote another blog post on November 27, 2011 where I predicted they would eventually charge users, although they say that they won't. Here's that blog post: http://xurl.at/672.
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LikeAnd, according to this chart, they will hit 7.3 billion by 2015...
http://mankabros.com/blogs/onmedea/2010/09/15/facebook-to-reach-7-3-billion-users-by-2015/
Even though the population of the Earth is only expected to be 7.2 billion.
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LikeJill Kennedy Well by that point Facebook will undoubtedly have a healthcare provider partnership ensuring that every person is automatically assigned a Facebook account upon birth. So they're growth curve will just follow the global population curve.
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LikeBrazil and India? Isn't it Googles playground? The odds are that at the end of the year Google+ may be more popular at those countries than FB...
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LikeAdam Kubalica Not anymore. Orkut used to be king in Brazil, but nowadays everybody is migrating to Facebook.
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LikeAlexandre Gandini they can make a tool allowing easy transfer of all your user data from Orkut to Google+...ok Brazil is not that easy but in India Google is very strong: cheap Android tablets, free access to G+ on Wi-Fi
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LikeAdam Kubalica that seems unlikely, Facebook outgrowing dominant social networks in almost every country where it isn't yet number one.
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LikeJon Russell true, but that happened when there was no real alternative, now you have G+ and lots of other social networks focused on 1 subject
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LikeJon Russell besides FB won't last forever, ads in Timeline before IPO and a Google+ alternative may weaken it, the time will kill it, I doubt if Google will
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LikeHmm... The frenzy just keeps increasing as fb really bring in something new everytime we get bored of nornal fb....
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